PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

● quote 212 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $128.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $77.5KEvent: LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
5.0¢
YES
95.0¢
NO
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection81Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%
24h sample:49 trades$40.3K trackedsource coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 216 min agoofficial metadata 216 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid (NO)$6.0K@ 66¢·0x3818…9797

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$32.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$32.9K
6h
−$32.9K
tracked
$40.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 88% · priority 56

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 212 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 216 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 216 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-10 03:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against FlyQuest. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xec98…afcd2 linked markets · $6.0K gross
0x10ef…7d7b2 linked markets · $3.0K gross
0xebad…73932 linked markets · $41 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$32.9K
6h−$32.9K
24h−$32.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.0¢
VWAP 24h28.4¢▼ below by 23.4pp
VWAP 7d28.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$26.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$5.7K
10¢
$5.4K
5¢
← now
$29
0¢
$46.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTeam Liquid (NO)$34.9K@ 99.9¢0x3954…22d9🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
13.0¢$165.6Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants
60.5¢$655.6Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
0.1¢$577.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$413.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
89.5¢$359.3Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3954…22d9Team Liquid$20.3K
BUY VWAP 69.8¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.