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Broncos vs. Chiefs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 18 hoursLiquidity: $797.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $330.1KEvent: Broncos vs. Chiefs
43.5¢
Broncos
56.5¢
Chiefs
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:317 trades$74.6K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 36s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chiefs · $1.6K net·3 wallets·$6.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChiefs$51.9K@ 57¢·doubylinkedlist

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Broncos SETUP
What the tape says

Broncos pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.4K
6h
−$33.1K
tracked
$74.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Chiefs · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 58

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 18h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Broncos or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos".

•If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 14 at 8:15PM ET: If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chiefs@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Broncos; negative values favor Chiefs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBroncos · $2.4K
6hChiefs · $33.1K
24hChiefs · $33.1K

Broncos price VWAP

Volume-weighted Broncos price. Chiefs fills are converted to the complementary Broncos probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h43.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d43.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Broncos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$78.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChiefs$51.9K@ 57.0¢
doubylinkedlist0xbd36…ba9d
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

doubylinkedlistChiefs$51.9K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiBroncos$13.9K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·299 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.