Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 16 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $184.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $148.9KEvent: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants
93.5¢
YES
6.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:50 trades$44.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $1.2K·2 wallets·$1.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$21.7K@ 51¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$614
6h
+$41.4K
tracked
$44.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$1.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +43.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 16 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 25 minutes old.
  • Executable BUY price moved 43.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-15 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 8 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Detroit Tigers@ 51.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +41.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $38$209 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$614
6h+$41.4K
24h+$41.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current93.5¢
VWAP 24h51.9¢▲ above by 41.6pp
VWAP 7d51.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$0
85¢
$10
80¢
$428
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$11
65¢
$472
60¢
$0
55¢
$72
50¢
$42.7K
45¢
$7
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$21.7K@ 51.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$14.7K@ 50.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Detroit Tigers$36.4K
BUY VWAP 50.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.