New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote 69 min ago

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $174.7KEvent: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

43.5¢

YES

56.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:35 trades$78.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 77 min agoofficial metadata 73 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $36.6K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$46.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Braves (NO)$41.5K@ 58¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$12.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$12.7K

+$6.7K

tracked

$78.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$36.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 59

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 69 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 77 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 73 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

active

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-17 23:15 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 10 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $89.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 59.0¢11h ago

15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$12.7K

6h+$6.7K

24h−$24.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current43.5¢

VWAP 24h42.2¢▲ above by 1.3pp

VWAP 7d42.2¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢