Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7?
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
NO pressure: −$13.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 71% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
- •Executable quote is 129 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 157 minutes old.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.