LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

● quote 2 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $609.2KEvent: LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:117 trades$49.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$20.1K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGIANTX (NO)$20.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$20.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.1K
6h
+$41.5K
tracked
$49.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$20.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against Movistar KOI. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $14.7K gross
0x2518…254f2 linked markets · $4.7K gross
0x825e…2a992 linked markets · $2.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $547$24 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$20.1K
6h+$41.5K
24h+$41.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.2¢▼ below by 25.1pp
VWAP 7d25.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$936
85¢
$4.5K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.5K
70¢
$0
65¢
$921
60¢
$7.1K
55¢
$913
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$7
10¢
$42
5¢
$125
0¢
← now
$32.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLGIANTX (NO)$20.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLGIANTX (NO)$10.3K@ 99.9¢0x5286…0d47🐋about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$338.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢$320.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
0.1¢$76.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
27.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
26.5¢$667.9Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
10.5¢$381.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.