LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner

● quote 21 min ago

Sports→Closes: 20 minutesLiquidity: $518.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $691.1KEvent: LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly2Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:199 trades$301.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 23 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$17.0K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$48.8K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Vitality (NO)$40.0K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$176

+$27.2K

tracked

$301.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$17.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 21 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-10 19:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 10 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 1 against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against SK Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h3 linked markets · $86.1K gross

five51202 linked markets · $49.8K gross

0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $28.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 98.0¢3h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

ANTI CHASEBUY SK Gaming3h ago

Outcome checks pending

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY SK Gaming@ 44.0¢3h ago

15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $261 → $14 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$176

6h+$27.2K

24h+$27.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h20.4¢▼ below by 20.3pp

VWAP 7d20.4¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

$2.0K