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Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Alik LorenzLiquidity: $3.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.7KEvent: Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
100.0¢
Alik Lorenz payout
0.0¢
Mahamed Aly payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMahamed Aly$4.4K@ 76¢·Kosherlocks

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alik Lorenz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-19 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alik Lorenz; negative values favor Mahamed Aly. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMahamed Aly · $7.9K
6hMahamed Aly · $15.3K
24hMahamed Aly · $15.3K

Alik Lorenz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alik Lorenz price. Mahamed Aly fills are converted to the complementary Alik Lorenz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h30.5¢▲ above by 69.5pp
VWAP 7d30.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alik Lorenz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$596
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$483
70¢
$0
65¢
$454
60¢
$62
55¢
$200
50¢
$279
45¢
$275
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.0K
20¢
$13.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.