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Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $146.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $264.7KEvent: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
84.5¢
YES
15.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets42Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:117 trades$127.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $18.3K·6 wallets(1🐋)·$43.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$33.7K@ 62¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$9.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.4K
6h
−$51.1K
tracked
$127.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: −$18.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 54

Since latest large flow: -50.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 19:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 12 at 3:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $57.5K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $15.7K gross
0x5268…135d2 linked markets · $15.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 66.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -37.0pp1h INVALIDATED -56.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 63.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $18 → $19 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$9.4K
6h−$51.1K
24h−$51.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current84.5¢
VWAP 24h43.4¢▲ above by 41.1pp
VWAP 7d43.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$8.8K
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
← now
$0
75¢
$816
70¢
$0
65¢
$8.5K
60¢
$2
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.1K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$4.4K
35¢
$85.7K
30¢
$6.4K
25¢
$4.7K
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$31.0K@ 62.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$33.7K@ 62.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Arizona Diamondbacks$33.7K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Arizona Diamondbacks$31.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.