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LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $598.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $190.8KEvent: LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:96 trades$51.8K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRED Canids (NO)$8.5K@ 84¢·0x5dd9…420f

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.5K
6h
−$25.3K
tracked
$51.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$2.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 48 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-11 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Leviatan Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 10 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win Game 1 against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 1 against Leviatan Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5dd9…420f3 linked markets · $37.5K gross
Zzzz873 linked markets · $24.7K gross
Anjun2 linked markets · $10.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 14.0pp · near-book depth $72 → $143 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$2.5K
6h−$25.3K
24h−$34.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h32.2¢▲ above by 67.7pp
VWAP 7d32.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$991
45¢
$498
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$2.6K
20¢
$5.1K
15¢
$29.8K
10¢
$5
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5dd9…420fRED Canids$19.8K
BUY VWAP 83.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.