Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?

UncategorizedSettlement: YESLiquidity: $236.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $188.3KEvent: Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$19.7K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$23.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$11.5K@ 56¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 18:45 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 21, 2026 If Olympique de Marseille wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony2 linked markets · $17.7K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $7.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolved

Signed Order Flow

1h$8.6K
6h+$9.3K
24h+$20.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h68.4¢▲ above by 31.6pp
VWAP 7d68.4¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.6K
90¢
$9.6K
85¢
$1.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$7.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$33.2K
50¢
$7.5K
45¢
$3.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYES$11.5K@ 56.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋1 day ago
BUYYES$11.0K@ 56.6¢0x8ba2…1650🐋1 day ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0x8ba2…1650Yes$11.0K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.