PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena Rybakina

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $263.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $157.0KEvent: National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena Rybakina
25.5¢
YES
74.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$81.4K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $7.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$16.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElena Rybakina (NO)$39.5K@ 76¢·Marcoli

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$3.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.3K
6h
−$44.9K
tracked
$81.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$7.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Liudmila Samsonova and Elena Rybakina in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Liudmila Samsonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elena Rybakina@ 75.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$3.3K
6h−$44.9K
24h−$70.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current25.5¢
VWAP 24h24.9¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d24.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$40.3K
20¢
$41.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYElena Rybakina (NO)$39.5K@ 75.5¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYElena Rybakina (NO)$14.1K@ 75.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYElena Rybakina (NO)$11.9K@ 74.1¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 10 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MarcoliElena Rybakina$40.0K
BUY VWAP 75.5¢·2 fills
CORGI8Elena Rybakina$14.1K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Elena Rybakina$11.9K
BUY VWAP 74.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.