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ITF Koksijde: Barbora Palicova vs Noemi Basiletti

● quote 121 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $68.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $94.7KEvent: ITF Koksijde: Barbora Palicova vs Noemi Basiletti
36.5¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution25Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$16.1K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 146 min agoofficial metadata 120 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $3.4K·2 wallets·$6.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNoemi Basiletti (NO)$2.8K@ 100¢·0xbb25…62ed

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$450
6h
+$6.0K
tracked
$16.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$3.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 121 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 146 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 120 minutes old.
  • •The market is not currently accepting orders.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Noemi Basiletti in the ITF Women Koksijde, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Noemi Basiletti. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Basiletti' if Noemi Basiletti advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$450
6h+$6.0K
24h+$6.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h36.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d36.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.6K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
← now
$2.4K
30¢
$1.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$4.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity