LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

● quote 27 min ago
SportsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $245.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $279.2KEvent: LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
57.5¢
YES
42.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%
24h sample:75 trades$140.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1 (YES)$21.0K@ 60¢·0x85bb…9ada

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$31.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$31.6K
6h
+$32.6K
tracked
$140.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 49

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 27 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xdd88…dadb2 linked markets · $34.8K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $10.0K gross
0xf377…41592 linked markets · $8.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 61.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$31.6K
6h+$32.6K
24h+$74.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h58.9¢▼ below by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d58.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$24.6K
55¢
← now
$35.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYT1 (YES)$21.0K@ 60.0¢0x85bb…9ada🐋about 8 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
50.0¢$29.7Kpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$410.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
12.0¢$271.0Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
35.5¢$260.5Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.6¢$237.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.