PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $357.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $204.3KEvent: Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli
48.5¢
YES
51.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly77Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$102.7K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 57s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$29.6K@ 52¢·gransaaa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.3K
6h
−$102.6K
tracked
$102.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$2.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 48

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 18:45 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 22, 2026 If SSC Napoli wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY NO@ 51.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 51.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY NO@ 51.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$2.3K
6h−$102.6K
24h−$102.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h48.6¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d48.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$9.7K
45¢
← now
$93.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNO$29.6K@ 52.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNO$10.2K@ 51.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYNO$11.2K@ 51.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gransaaaNo$99.3K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.