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Hamburg: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Vitaliy Sachko

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $178.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $298.5KEvent: Hamburg: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Vitaliy Sachko
46.5¢
YES
53.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:74 trades$88.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$17.8K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$20.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChun-Hsin Tseng (YES)$13.6K@ 47¢·0xa8a1…2974

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW YES SETUP
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$6.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.7K
6h
+$20.6K
tracked
$88.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$17.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 65

Since latest market sweep: -4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-17 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Chun-Hsin Tseng and Vitaliy Sachko in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chun-Hsin Tseng' if Chun-Hsin Tseng advances against Vitaliy Sachko. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Chun-Hsin Tseng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL YES@ 42.0¢20m ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $28.4K → $1.4K · 13s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$6.7K
6h+$20.6K
24h+$20.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h46.1¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d46.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.5K
70¢
$1
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$18.7K
45¢
← now
$26.8K
40¢
$30.6K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$8.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYChun-Hsin Tseng (YES)$10.6K@ 41.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYChun-Hsin Tseng (YES)$13.6K@ 47.4¢0xa8a1…2974🐋—about 1 hour ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xa8a1…2974Chun-Hsin Tseng$14.8K
BUY VWAP 47.2¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Chun-Hsin Tseng$10.6K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.