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The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave

● quote 2776 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $278.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $361.2KEvent: The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTrent Rockets (YES)$13.4K@ 63¢·0xa4b7…6008

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$3
6h
+$20.8K
tracked
$134.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$3.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 37 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 2776 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 2799 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-17 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Trent Rockets and Southern Brave scheduled for August 10 2026 in The Hundred, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Trent Rockets@ 64.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$3
6h+$20.8K
24h+$37.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.8¢▲ above by 32.1pp
VWAP 7d67.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29.5K
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$23.9K
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$7.5K
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.8K
60¢
$21.3K
55¢
$5.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.5K
40¢
$15.1K
35¢
$2.7K
30¢
$6
25¢
$4.4K
20¢
$2.3K
15¢
$8.7K
10¢
$1.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTrent Rockets (YES)$10.1K@ 88.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTrent Rockets (YES)$13.4K@ 63.0¢0xa4b7…6008🐋—2 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xa4b7…6008Trent Rockets$23.7K
BUY VWAP 63.3¢·7 fills
0x6e02…d70aTrent Rockets$16.6K
BUY VWAP 50.7¢·7 fills
jaytee158Trent Rockets$13.1K
BUY VWAP 87.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.