LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

● quote 17 min ago
SportsCloses: 5 minutesLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $894.7KEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly95Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:347 trades$282.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $20.1K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$72.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHanwha Life Esports (YES)$40.3K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$7.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.8K
6h
−$69.0K
tracked
$282.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$20.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -62.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 17 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-10 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Gen.G in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 10 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $73.0K gross
0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $45.6K gross
five51202 linked markets · $31.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $525$5.4K · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$7.8K
6h$69.0K
24h$69.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h68.5¢▲ above by 31.4pp
VWAP 7d68.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$108.0K
90¢
$5.3K
85¢
$10.6K
80¢
$6.0K
75¢
$13.9K
70¢
$2.2K
65¢
$3.0K
60¢
$162
55¢
$2.5K
50¢
$13.6K
45¢
$7.7K
40¢
$37.4K
35¢
$40.3K
30¢
$16.5K
25¢
$10.7K
20¢
$4.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLHanwha Life Esports (YES)$40.3K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$25.9K@ 98.3¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

5e46hHanwha Life Esports$25.9K
BUY VWAP 98.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.