Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

● quote 23 min ago
SportsCloses: 16 minutesLiquidity: $304.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $142.7KEvent: Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MOUZ (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
1.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:86 trades$42.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ (NO)$11.9K@ 40¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$1.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.8K
6h
+$9.0K
tracked
$42.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$11.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 23 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-10 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Power Rangers and MOUZ in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Power Rangers" if Power Rangers win Game 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Power Rangers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x8dc5…c07d3 linked markets · $8.6K gross
0xf3ef…ca6b3 linked markets · $7.3K gross
0xdf27…026f2 linked markets · $3.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $1.3K$2.1K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1.8K
6h+$9.0K
24h+$9.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h40.9¢▼ below by 39.9pp
VWAP 7d40.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4
75¢
$0
70¢
$3.7K
65¢
$4.8K
60¢
$16.5K
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$6
25¢
$601
20¢
$1.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$199
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$13.8K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMOUZ (NO)$11.9K@ 40.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563MOUZ$11.9K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.