Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winner

● quote 76 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 5 minutesLiquidity: $251.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $192.9KEvent: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%
24h sample:100 trades$56.1K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 110 min agoofficial metadata 80 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEintracht Frankfurt (NO)$8.0K@ 100¢·0xf377…4159

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$12.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$12.3K
6h
+$20.6K
tracked
$56.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 76 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 110 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 80 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-12 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Gentle Mates and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 2 against Eintracht Frankfurt. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Frankfurt" if Eintracht Frankfurt win Map 2 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x86df…d9023 linked markets · $34.0K gross
0x3471…f17e3 linked markets · $13.0K gross
0xec98…afcd3 linked markets · $12.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $17.6K$232 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$12.3K
6h+$20.6K
24h+$20.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h39.7¢▼ below by 39.7pp
VWAP 7d39.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$6.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$14.5K
50¢
$514
45¢
$4.6K
40¢
$4.1K
35¢
$7.7K
30¢
$2.7K
25¢
$4.4K
20¢
$33
15¢
$51
10¢
$6
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$10.8K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
0.1¢$276.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winner
0.1¢$194.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.