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Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $236.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $193.5KEvent: Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
88.5¢
Las Vegas Aces
11.5¢
Toronto Tempo
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:78 trades$68.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Las Vegas Aces · $3.2K net·3 wallets·$3.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLas Vegas Aces$10.5K@ 90¢·Takeshirosoku

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Las Vegas Aces SETUP
What the tape says

Las Vegas Aces pressure: $2.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.0K
6h
+$53.9K
tracked
$68.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Las Vegas Aces · $3.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 67

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Las Vegas Aces or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".

•If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $38.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $1.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Las Vegas Aces@ 88.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Las Vegas Aces; negative values favor Toronto Tempo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLas Vegas Aces · $2.0K
6hLas Vegas Aces · $53.9K
24hLas Vegas Aces · $53.8K

Las Vegas Aces price VWAP

Volume-weighted Las Vegas Aces price. Toronto Tempo fills are converted to the complementary Las Vegas Aces probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current88.5¢
VWAP 24h87.3¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d87.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Las Vegas Aces price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$18
90¢
$16.5K
85¢
← now
$38.4K
80¢
$14.3K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLas Vegas Aces$10.5K@ 90.1¢
Takeshirosoku0x6368…6dc8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLas Vegas Aces$10.5K@ 86.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooLas Vegas Aces$29.7K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·23 fills
TakeshirosokuLas Vegas Aces$10.5K
BUY VWAP 90.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.