LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

● quote 3 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $277.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $531.7KEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly15Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets15Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:97 trades$310.0K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$32.6K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$146.8K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$62.2K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$1.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$1.4K

+$155.9K

tracked

$310.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$32.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: -82.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Observed tape is 48 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
•Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-10 18:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Gen.G and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 10 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes

DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago

DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h2 linked markets · $169.4K gross

retroactivesource2 linked markets · $81.1K gross

0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $61.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Gen.G@ 83.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY DN SOOPers@ 100.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Gen.G@ 79.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO UP 17.5pp · near-book depth $10.4K → $37.1K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$1.4K

6h+$155.9K

24h+$155.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h26.4¢▼ below by 26.3pp

VWAP 7d26.4¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

$2.2K

85¢

$29.4K

80¢

$42.8K

75¢

$13.0K