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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote 92 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $544.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $437.7KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
36.5¢
YES
63.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets42Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$198.9K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 103 min agoofficial metadata 92 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $21.1K·4 wallets(2🐋)·$49.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$49.0K@ 38¢·Eztennis

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$13.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.2K
6h
+$21.2K
tracked
$198.9K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$21.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 92 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 103 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 92 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 16 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 38.0¢2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 63.0¢2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 63.0¢2h ago
Outcome checks pending

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$13.2K
6h+$21.2K
24h+$20.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h37.7¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d37.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$198.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$45.0K@ 38.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$24.1K@ 62.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$49.0K@ 38.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$14.3K@ 37.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

EztennisMilwaukee Brewers$94.0K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Los Angeles Dodgers$24.1K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
0x5268…135dLos Angeles Dodgers$16.3K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills
SDTradingMilwaukee Brewers$14.3K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
quavooLos Angeles Dodgers$10.8K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.