PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Closes: about 13 hoursLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $304.6KEvent: Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC
51.5¢
YES
48.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection80Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%
24h sample:14 trades$137.5K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$110.4K@ 48¢·gransaaa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: $110.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$110.4K
6h
−$97.0K
tracked
$137.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Less than 13h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 24, 2026 If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 49.0¢52m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $110.4K
6hNO · $97.0K
24hNO · $84.0K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h52.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d52.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$138.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNO$110.4K@ 48.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$10.9K@ 53.0¢0x8ba2…1650🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$391.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner
97.0¢$248.6Kpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$246.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.7¢$230.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?
40.5¢$217.3Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.5¢$202.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In
77.0¢$189.6Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gransaaaNo$110.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill
0x8ba2…1650Yes$10.9K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.