PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Veronika Erjavec

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $123.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $89.0KEvent: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Veronika Erjavec
90.5¢
YES
9.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly15Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%
24h sample:28 trades$37.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 36s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMary Stoiana (YES)$10.3K@ 70¢·0x0cdf…ec9e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$119
6h
+$29.7K
tracked
$37.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-18 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Veronika Erjavec in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Veronika Erjavec. This market will resolve to 'Veronika Erjavec' if Veronika Erjavec advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $56.2K → $13.1K · 39s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$119
6h+$29.7K
24h+$37.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current90.5¢
VWAP 24h74.1¢▲ above by 16.4pp
VWAP 7d74.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$9.5K
85¢
$6
80¢
$364
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$17.2K
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$7.9K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMary Stoiana (YES)$10.3K@ 70.3¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—about 4 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0cdf…ec9eMary Stoiana$11.4K
BUY VWAP 70.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.