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Spread: Rams (-7.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $315.6KEvent: Giants vs. Rams
43.5¢
Rams
56.5¢
Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection26Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%
24h sample:29 trades$139.7K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRams$14.7K@ 45¢·vilkaZ

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Rams pressure: $35.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$35.6K
6h
+$110.1K
tracked
$139.7K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rams or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Giants".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rams" if the Rams win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd3a0…f1362 linked markets · $65.4K gross
SunlineTicker3 linked markets · $23.7K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $23.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Rams@ 45.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Rams@ 45.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rams; negative values favor Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRams · $35.6K
6hRams · $110.1K
24hRams · $110.1K

Rams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rams price. Giants fills are converted to the complementary Rams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h44.5¢▼ below by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d44.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$72.2K
40¢
← now
$70.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRams$11.9K@ 44.0¢
VibeDoter0xe4a7…dc87
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYRams$12.4K@ 44.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYRams$14.7K@ 45.0¢
vilkaZ0x5f38…eb70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRams$13.5K@ 45.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5
49.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Rams
26.5¢$946.0Kpriority74Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
51.5¢$235.9Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
57.5¢$208.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Exact Margin: Giants by 25+
0.7¢$126.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: LA (-9.5)
41.5¢$55.9Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
42.5¢$3.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 51.5
37.5¢$1.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Yellow-FeverRams$34.3K
BUY VWAP 44.6¢·3 fills
vilkaZRams$14.7K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
walter-whitewichRams$13.7K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills
VibeDoterRams$11.9K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
n0tTODAYRams$11.7K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.