Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1 verified profitable wallet: +$28.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 63% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: +2.5pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market refers to the tennis match between Sean Cuenin and Timofei Derepasko in the ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sean Cuenin' if Sean Cuenin advances against Timofei Derepasko. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Sean Cuenin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.