LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner

● quote 695 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 12 hoursLiquidity: $667.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $788.4KEvent: LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

0.1¢

YES

99.9¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly37Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:172 trades$292.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 715 min agoofficial metadata 683 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $9.9K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$120.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFnatic (NO)$52.9K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$3.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$3.2K

+$1.1K

tracked

$292.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$9.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 695 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 715 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 683 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolved

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-15 19:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 2 against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 2 against SK Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h2 linked markets · $114.4K gross

0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $37.0K gross

0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Fnatic@ 100.0¢14h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $538 → $230.1K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$3.2K

6h+$1.1K

24h+$1.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h14.8¢▼ below by 14.7pp

VWAP 7d14.8¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

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