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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Mary Stoiana

● quote 98 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $399.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $210.0KEvent: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Mary Stoiana
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:93 trades$40.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 123 min agoofficial metadata 88 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $3.4K·2 wallets·$3.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMary Stoiana (NO)$11.1K@ 100¢·0x0c4c…d70d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$88
6h
−$7.4K
tracked
$40.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$3.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 98 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 123 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 88 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Oksana Selekhmeteva and Mary Stoiana in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oksana Selekhmeteva' if Oksana Selekhmeteva advances against Mary Stoiana. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Oksana Selekhmeteva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.3pp · near-book depth $11 → $5 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$88
6h−$7.4K
24h−$7.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h11.9¢▼ below by 11.8pp
VWAP 7d11.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$207
70¢
$135
65¢
$40
60¢
$105
55¢
$7
50¢
$50
45¢
$76
40¢
$267
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$2.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$8
15¢
$7.8K
10¢
$11.9K
5¢
$1.5K
0¢
← now
$13.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLMary Stoiana (NO)$11.1K@ 99.9¢0x0c4c…d70d🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMary Stoiana (NO)$10.0K@ 88.4¢0x0c4c…d70d🐋—about 2 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0c4c…d70dMary Stoiana$10.0K
BUY VWAP 88.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.