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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Harriet Dart

● quote 2342 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $585.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $99.8KEvent: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Harriet Dart
2.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly42Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHarriet Dart (NO)$13.7K@ 61¢·RN1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$398
6h
−$24.7K
tracked
$39.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$19.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 17 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 2342 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 2376 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aoi Ito and Harriet Dart in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aoi Ito' if Aoi Ito advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Aoi Ito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Harriet Dart@ 77.0¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$398
6h−$24.7K
24h−$24.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h38.3¢▼ below by 36.3pp
VWAP 7d38.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
$37.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$90
20¢
$25
15¢
$478
10¢
$0
5¢
$16
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHarriet Dart (NO)$13.7K@ 61.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—1 day ago
BUYHarriet Dart (NO)$11.0K@ 61.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—1 day ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Harriet Dart$24.7K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.