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Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko

UncategorizedSettlement: Simona WaltertLiquidity: $359.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $332.1KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko
100.0¢
Simona Waltert payout
0.0¢
Petra Marcinko payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSimona Waltert$48.2K@ 100¢·Mamagovorila

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Simona Waltert. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-20 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Petra Marcinko in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Petra Marcinko. This market will resolve to 'Petra Marcinko' if Petra Marcinko advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Simona Waltert@ 92.0¢10d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Simona Waltert@ 74.0¢10d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Simona Waltert; negative values favor Petra Marcinko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPetra Marcinko · $23.5K
6hPetra Marcinko · $38.8K
24hPetra Marcinko · $40.6K

Simona Waltert price VWAP

Volume-weighted Simona Waltert price. Petra Marcinko fills are converted to the complementary Simona Waltert probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.5¢▲ above by 32.5pp
VWAP 7d67.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Simona Waltert price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$72.0K
90¢
$159
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$42
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.9K
45¢
$55.1K
40¢
$3
35¢
$10.0K
30¢
$4.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$9.2K
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSimona Waltert$13.1K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—10 days ago
SELLSimona Waltert$48.2K@ 99.9¢
Mamagovorila0x2a0d…a75f
🐋—10 days ago
BUYSimona Waltert$22.0K@ 45.6¢
Mamagovorila0x2a0d…a75f
🐋—10 days ago