PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

● quote 37 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $265.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $187.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:67 trades$67.4K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit (NO)$9.2K@ 87¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$2.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.6K
6h
−$9.3K
tracked
$67.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$4.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 37 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 46 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 36 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-13 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Luminosity and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Luminosity. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 36m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 36m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0063…2dd22 linked markets · $41.9K gross
0x8a2c…3c322 linked markets · $11.5K gross
0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $11.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$2.6K
6h−$9.3K
24h−$33.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h8.6¢▼ below by 8.5pp
VWAP 7d8.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$9
10¢
$41.8K
5¢
$7.5K
0¢
← now
$18.1K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
11.5¢$1.3Mpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$674.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$630.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$555.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
99.5¢$489.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
100.0¢$480.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.