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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $476.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $546.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
48.5¢
YES
51.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:78 trades$245.6K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $66.0K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$66.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFaZe (NO)$40.8K@ 51¢·AV23IUa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW NO SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$25.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$25.8K
6h
−$30.1K
tracked
$245.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$66.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 70

Since latest liquidity absorption: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-13 22:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Legacy and FaZe in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against FaZe. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY FaZe@ 52.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Legacy@ 49.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY FaZe@ 52.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY FaZe@ 51.0¢32m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$25.8K
6h−$30.1K
24h−$35.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h49.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d49.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$72.8K
45¢
← now
$172.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLegacy (YES)$15.0K@ 49.0¢0xf438…9559🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYFaZe (NO)$11.0K@ 51.0¢0xfae1…fdc1🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYFaZe (NO)$10.2K@ 51.0¢0x994e…6136🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYFaZe (NO)$40.8K@ 51.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$36.9K@ 50.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYFaZe (NO)$10.0K@ 51.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYFaZe (NO)$10.2K@ 51.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaFaZe$51.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Legacy$36.9K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462FaZe$15.0K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·2 fills
0xf438…9559Legacy$15.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
0xfae1…fdc1FaZe$11.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0x994e…6136FaZe$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.