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National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina

UncategorizedSettlement: Iga SwiatekLiquidity: $563.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
100.0¢
Iga Swiatek payout
0.0¢
Elena Rybakina payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIga Swiatek$91.5K@ 55¢·AV23IUa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iga Swiatek. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-20 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Iga Swiatek@ 94.0¢10d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Iga Swiatek@ 56.0¢10d ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Elena Rybakina@ 43.0¢10d ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 56.0¢10d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iga Swiatek; negative values favor Elena Rybakina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIga Swiatek · $20.9K
6hIga Swiatek · $100.2K
24hIga Swiatek · $99.3K

Iga Swiatek price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iga Swiatek price. Elena Rybakina fills are converted to the complementary Iga Swiatek probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h68.5¢▲ above by 31.5pp
VWAP 7d68.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iga Swiatek price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$45.3K
90¢
$31.6K
85¢
$20.0K
80¢
$9.1K
75¢
$36.9K
70¢
$57.6K
65¢
$15.1K
60¢
$28.0K
55¢
$203.2K
50¢
$27.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIga Swiatek$12.8K@ 85.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—10 days ago
BUYIga Swiatek$32.6K@ 73.6¢
BLAHBLAHBLAH-2980x0210…4deb
🐋—10 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$24.8K@ 41.4¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—10 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$10.0K@ 36.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—10 days ago
BUYIga Swiatek$10.0K@ 68.3¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—10 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$27.1K@ 45.1¢0x760f…326a🐋—10 days ago
BUYIga Swiatek$91.5K@ 55.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—10 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$27.0K@ 45.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—10 days ago