LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

● quote 12 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $951.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $958.1KEvent: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs

100.0¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets82Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:283 trades$316.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$30.6K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$37.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1 (YES)$23.8K@ 100¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$49.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$49.9K

−$54.2K

tracked

$316.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$30.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -43.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 12 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
•Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-17 15:15 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between T1 and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0xc69b…20762 linked markets · $123.9K gross

TAIWANNUMBERONE2 linked markets · $99.4K gross

1111111111152 linked markets · $46.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY DN SOOPers@ 44.0¢34m ago

Outcome checks pending

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY T1@ 57.0¢57m ago

15m CONFIRMED +38.0pp

MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 55.0¢1h ago

15m INVALIDATED -49.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY DN SOOPers@ 55.0¢1h ago

15m INVALIDATED -49.0pp

Latest book event: YES UP 8.6pp · near-book depth $127 → $152 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$49.9K

6h−$54.2K

24h−$54.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current100.0¢

VWAP 24h72.1¢▲ above by 27.8pp

VWAP 7d72.1¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$103.5K

90¢

$13.9K

85¢

$6.6K

80¢

$3.3K