Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

● quote 4 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $104.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $425.3KEvent: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
75.5¢
YES
24.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:110 trades$154.1K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$75.6K·4 wallets(2🐋)·$77.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$23.0K@ 40¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$829
6h
+$74.1K
tracked
$154.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$75.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +35.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • Executable BUY price moved 35.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 16:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for August 19 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $108.7K gross
SDTrading2 linked markets · $72.6K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $44.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Detroit Tigers@ 41.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Detroit Tigers@ 41.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Detroit Tigers@ 41.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Detroit Tigers@ 40.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $25$113 · 8s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$829
6h+$74.1K
24h+$74.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.5¢
VWAP 24h46.7¢▲ above by 28.8pp
VWAP 7d46.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.7K
75¢
← now
$2.4K
70¢
$18.2K
65¢
$34
60¢
$0
55¢
$4
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$12.9K
40¢
$113.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$113
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$11.7K@ 74.0¢0x927c…6633🐋35 minutes ago
BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$19.0K@ 40.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$23.0K@ 40.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$18.6K@ 40.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$16.0K@ 40.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Detroit Tigers$41.6K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·2 fills
SDTradingDetroit Tigers$35.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·2 fills
0x9854…7a06Pittsburgh Pirates$16.3K
BUY VWAP 38.9¢·3 fills
0x927c…6633Detroit Tigers$11.7K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
0x8002…8b6cPittsburgh Pirates$10.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.