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UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)

Sports→Settlement: Charles JohnsonLiquidity: $386.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $442.6KEvent: UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)
100.0¢
Charles Johnson payout
0.0¢
Eduardo Chapolin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCharles Johnson$38.6K@ 53¢·rabbitfoot1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Charles Johnson. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Eduardo Chapolin" if Eduardo Chapolin is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Eduardo Chapolin" if Eduardo Chapolin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Charles Johnson@ 53.0¢9d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Charles Johnson; negative values favor Eduardo Chapolin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCharles Johnson · $50.1K
6hCharles Johnson · $57.9K
24hCharles Johnson · $66.9K

Charles Johnson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Charles Johnson price. Eduardo Chapolin fills are converted to the complementary Charles Johnson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h57.8¢▲ above by 42.2pp
VWAP 7d57.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Charles Johnson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$8
70¢
$2.4K
65¢
$811
60¢
$86
55¢
$0
50¢
$105.5K
45¢
$6.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$3.6K
25¢
$332
20¢
$341
15¢
$2.0K
10¢
$1.2K
5¢
$16
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCharles Johnson$38.6K@ 53.0¢
rabbitfoot10x10a6…4d8b
🐋—9 days ago
BUYCharles Johnson$13.3K@ 52.0¢
rabbitfoot10x10a6…4d8b
🐋—9 days ago
BUYCharles Johnson$10.4K@ 52.0¢
sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40
🐋—9 days ago
BUYCharles Johnson$10.9K@ 51.0¢
erokha0x7dbc…d4ad
🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.