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LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $386.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $446.3KEvent: LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:122 trades$159.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 69 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBilibili Gaming (NO)$16.0K@ 100¢·ColinHe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vtcchampion523 linked markets · $35.7K gross
0xf64e…a1dd2 linked markets · $26.3K gross
TAIWANNUMBERONE2 linked markets · $23.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $7.7K → $1.2K · 3s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$3.3K
6h+$29.5K
24h+$29.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h17.4¢▼ below by 17.4pp
VWAP 7d17.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$12.5K
45¢
$13.7K
40¢
$27.6K
35¢
$3.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$5.7K
5¢
$5.6K
0¢
← now
$90.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLBilibili Gaming (NO)$11.0K@ 99.9¢0xa103…1c14🐋—about 3 hours ago
SELLBilibili Gaming (NO)$16.0K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$11.9K@ 99.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.Bilibili Gaming$11.9K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.