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Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov

UncategorizedSettlement: Rafael JodarLiquidity: $294.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $931.2KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov
100.0¢
Rafael Jodar payout
0.0¢
Denis Shapovalov payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDenis Shapovalov$30.0K@ 34¢·AV23IUa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rafael Jodar. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Denis Shapovalov in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Denis Shapovalov@ 89.0¢10d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Denis Shapovalov@ 31.0¢10d ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h CONFIRMED +34.4pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rafael Jodar; negative values favor Denis Shapovalov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRafael Jodar · $27.7K
6hDenis Shapovalov · $10.6K
24hDenis Shapovalov · $10.6K

Rafael Jodar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rafael Jodar price. Denis Shapovalov fills are converted to the complementary Rafael Jodar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h56.9¢▲ above by 43.1pp
VWAP 7d56.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rafael Jodar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$37.9K
90¢
$23.8K
85¢
$8.5K
80¢
$58
75¢
$248
70¢
$52.9K
65¢
$55.5K
60¢
$28.5K
55¢
$2.4K
50¢
$21.0K
45¢
$7.9K
40¢
$5.5K
35¢
$9.8K
30¢
$15.3K
25¢
$9.6K
20¢
$46.1K
15¢
$16.7K
10¢
$6.1K
5¢
$6.0K
0¢
$5.2K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRafael Jodar$11.0K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—10 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$15.0K@ 74.2¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—10 days ago
BUYDenis Shapovalov$15.0K@ 80.0¢
MMzz3980x2978…b511
🐋—10 days ago
BUYDenis Shapovalov$10.0K@ 83.1¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—10 days ago
BUYDenis Shapovalov$30.0K@ 33.9¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—10 days ago