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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $504.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:337 trades$404.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDN SOOPers Challengers (YES)$139.4K@ 100¢·RoshanMVP

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$74.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$74.6K
6h
−$84.4K
tracked
$404.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$16.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +29.8pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 29.8pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-18 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 18, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1660…55983 linked markets · $39.8K gross
0xcf60…a6f53 linked markets · $28.5K gross
backback2 linked markets · $27.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY YES37m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY YES@ 70.2¢43m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Nongshim Esports Academy@ 61.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -27.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 14.2pp · near-book depth $622 → $23 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$74.6K
6h−$84.4K
24h−$86.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.2¢▲ above by 14.7pp
VWAP 7d85.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$295.2K
90¢
$605
85¢
$3.7K
80¢
$2.9K
75¢
$5.1K
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$6.0K
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$726
45¢
$17.9K
40¢
$47.6K
35¢
$4.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$4.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$3.3K
5¢
$2.2K
0¢
$3.0K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDN SOOPers Challengers (YES)$34.8K@ 99.9¢0x5e8e…8212🐋—37 minutes ago
SELLDN SOOPers Challengers (YES)$139.4K@ 99.9¢
RoshanMVP0xa16a…33a1
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers Challengers (YES)$19.1K@ 99.6¢0x5e8e…8212🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers Challengers (YES)$16.8K@ 99.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers Challengers (YES)$11.9K@ 99.6¢0xd016…6114🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNongshim Esports Academy (NO)$16.5K@ 60.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e8e…8212DN SOOPers Challengers$53.9K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·2 fills
backbackDN SOOPers Challengers$19.4K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·2 fills
StasPandaNongshim Esports Academy$16.5K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
0xd016…6114DN SOOPers Challengers$11.9K
BUY VWAP 99.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.