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Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez

UncategorizedSettlement: Learner TienLiquidity: $172.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $204.6KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez
100.0¢
Learner Tien payout
0.0¢
Sebastian Baez payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLearner Tien$21.1K@ 89¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Learner Tien. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Sebastian Baez in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Learner Tien@ 100.0¢7d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Learner Tien@ 100.0¢7d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Learner Tien@ 100.0¢7d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Learner Tien@ 80.0¢7d ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Learner Tien; negative values favor Sebastian Baez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLearner Tien · $48.0K
6hLearner Tien · $83.2K
24hLearner Tien · $84.3K

Learner Tien price VWAP

Volume-weighted Learner Tien price. Sebastian Baez fills are converted to the complementary Learner Tien probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.2¢▲ above by 12.8pp
VWAP 7d87.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Learner Tien price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.2K
90¢
$9.6K
85¢
$58.5K
80¢
$21.9K
75¢
$12.9K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLearner Tien$21.1K@ 89.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—7 days ago
BUYLearner Tien$19.4K@ 89.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—7 days ago
BUYLearner Tien$16.5K@ 80.0¢0x772f…8145🐋—7 days ago