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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

UncategorizedSettlement: Nigma GalaxyLiquidity: $240.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $639.3KEvent: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage
100.0¢
Nigma Galaxy payout
0.0¢
Team Spirit payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNigma Galaxy$48.0K@ 100¢·Zywoo123

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nigma Galaxy. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-15 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Nigma Galaxy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Spirit in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Spirit@ 89.0¢8d ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -34.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Spirit@ 82.0¢9d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nigma Galaxy; negative values favor Team Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNigma Galaxy · $0
6hTeam Spirit · $190.1K
24hTeam Spirit · $199.6K

Nigma Galaxy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nigma Galaxy price. Team Spirit fills are converted to the complementary Nigma Galaxy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h58.5¢▲ above by 41.5pp
VWAP 7d58.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nigma Galaxy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$121.9K
90¢
$2.3K
85¢
$214
80¢
$7
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$143
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$57.8K
40¢
$10.9K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$90
20¢
$24.0K
15¢
$61.0K
10¢
$6.3K
5¢
$11.2K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNigma Galaxy$47.7K@ 99.9¢
tb1020x1896…a7d6
🐋—8 days ago
SELLNigma Galaxy$48.0K@ 99.9¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—8 days ago
BUYNigma Galaxy$16.4K@ 45.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—8 days ago
BUYNigma Galaxy$11.3K@ 49.8¢
tb1020x1896…a7d6
🐋—8 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 90.9¢
tony19190x733b…7260
🐋—9 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$46.4K@ 82.2¢
fireluo0x9100…7ade
🐋—9 days ago