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Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

UncategorizedSettlement: Nigma GalaxyLiquidity: $88.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.7KEvent: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage
0.0¢
Team Spirit payout
100.0¢
Nigma Galaxy payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNigma Galaxy$12.5K@ 47¢·vtcchampion52

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nigma Galaxy. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-15 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit wins 2 or more games than Nigma Galaxy in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Spirit in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit wins 2 or more games than Nigma Galaxy in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor Nigma Galaxy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $0
6hNigma Galaxy · $6.4K
24hNigma Galaxy · $6.6K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. Nigma Galaxy fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h52.4¢▼ below by 52.4pp
VWAP 7d52.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$3
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$23.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$24
15¢
$0
10¢
$5
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$105

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNigma Galaxy$12.5K@ 47.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—11 days ago