PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $82Official 24h Vol: $62.1KEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round
39.0¢
YES
79.0¢
NO
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly11Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution43Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%
24h sample:13 trades$17.6K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 28s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Spirit (YES)$5.0K@ 52¢·acorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$27
6h
+$9.0K
tracked
$17.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Resilience in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit wins 2 or more games than Team Resilience in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Resilience". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $64.0K gross
CORGI83 linked markets · $19.7K gross
0x880d…50b82 linked markets · $13.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 13.5pp · near-book depth $1 → $44 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$27
6h+$9.0K
24h+$17.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.0¢
VWAP 24h51.9¢▼ below by 12.9pp
VWAP 7d51.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$15
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$17.5K
45¢
$7
40¢
$3
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
33.5¢$599.0Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$289.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round
79.5¢$262.6Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

acorpTeam Spirit$10.4K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.