PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)

● quote 27s ago
Sports→Closes: about 20 hoursLiquidity: $70.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $99.8KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)
34.5¢
Alex Perez
65.5¢
Sumudaerji
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:36 trades$58.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 109 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSumudaerji$44.9K@ 66¢·timezonewarrior

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$5.5K
tracked
$58.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Sumudaerji · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 109 minutes old.
  • •Less than 20h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alex Perez" if Alex Perez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sumudaerji at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Sumudaerji" if Sumudaerji is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Alex Perez" if Alex Perez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sumudaerji at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Sumudaerji" if Sumudaerji is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sumudaerji@ 67.0¢21h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alex Perez; negative values favor Sumudaerji. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlex Perez · $0
6hSumudaerji · $5.5K
24hSumudaerji · $57.1K

Alex Perez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alex Perez price. Sumudaerji fills are converted to the complementary Alex Perez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h33.8¢▲ above by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d33.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Alex Perez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$58.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSumudaerji$44.9K@ 66.0¢
timezonewarrior0x8f8c…e275
🐋—about 21 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$426.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?
67.5¢$377.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
88.5¢$293.2Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$277.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?
43.5¢$269.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
18.5¢$268.8Kpriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.8¢$230.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

timezonewarriorSumudaerji$44.9K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.