Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tauson

● quote 1175 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $453.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $638.9KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tauson
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:173 trades$330.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1205 min agoofficial metadata 1166 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $1.8K·2 wallets·$11.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$77.9K@ 75¢·Kulilun

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$43.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$43.1K
6h
+$148.5K
tracked
$330.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$1.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 1175 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 1205 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 1166 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Clara Tauson in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Clara Tauson. This market will resolve to 'Clara Tauson' if Clara Tauson advances against Linda Noskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Linda Noskova@ 73.0¢22h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Linda Noskova@ 73.0¢22h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.3K$21.3K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$43.1K
6h+$148.5K
24h+$151.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h77.0¢▲ above by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d77.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$64.6K
90¢
$4.3K
85¢
$373
80¢
$0
75¢
$31.0K
70¢
$188.8K
65¢
$7.3K
60¢
$182
55¢
$7.3K
50¢
$26.5K
45¢
$2.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLLinda Noskova (YES)$25.0K@ 99.9¢0x5901…63a2🐋about 20 hours ago
SELLLinda Noskova (YES)$20.5K@ 99.9¢0xf377…4159🐋about 20 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$10.2K@ 51.0¢0xf377…4159🐋about 21 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$19.2K@ 76.9¢0x5901…63a2🐋about 22 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$37.0K@ 74.0¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋about 22 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$18.6K@ 74.0¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋about 22 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$77.9K@ 74.9¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋about 22 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$29.1K@ 74.0¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋about 22 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova (YES)$15.3K@ 73.0¢
Kulilun0xe76f…d40c
🐋about 22 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KulilunLinda Noskova$181.8K
BUY VWAP 74.3¢·6 fills
0x5901…63a2Linda Noskova$19.2K
BUY VWAP 76.9¢·1 fill
0xf377…4159Linda Noskova$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.