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UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)

Sports→Settlement: Marcio BarbosaLiquidity: $378.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $143.1KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)
100.0¢
Marcio Barbosa payout
0.0¢
Ryan Kuse payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ryan Kuse · $497 net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$52.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMarcio Barbosa$26.7K@ 99¢·tennischamp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marcio Barbosa. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Marcio Barbosa" if Marcio Barbosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Kuse at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Ryan Kuse" if Ryan Kuse is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Marcio Barbosa" if Marcio Barbosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Kuse at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryan Kuse" if Ryan Kuse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Marcio Barbosa@ 88.0¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marcio Barbosa; negative values favor Ryan Kuse. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarcio Barbosa · $37.3K
6hMarcio Barbosa · $37.3K
24hMarcio Barbosa · $38.4K

Marcio Barbosa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marcio Barbosa price. Ryan Kuse fills are converted to the complementary Marcio Barbosa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h91.7¢▲ above by 8.3pp
VWAP 7d91.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marcio Barbosa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$28.3K
90¢
$2.1K
85¢
$64.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMarcio Barbosa$26.7K@ 99.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—2 days ago
BUYMarcio Barbosa$10.7K@ 88.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—2 days ago
BUYMarcio Barbosa$22.2K@ 89.0¢
CanadianGoose0xf9fe…366b
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

CanadianGooseMarcio Barbosa$24.9K
BUY VWAP 88.9¢·2 fills
tennischampMarcio Barbosa$23.0K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.