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Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari

UncategorizedSettlement: Iga SwiatekLiquidity: $533.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $854.4KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari
100.0¢
Iga Swiatek payout
0.0¢
Maria Sakkari payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iga Swiatek · $34.6K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$110.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIga Swiatek$26.1K@ 100¢·tennischamp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iga Swiatek. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-24 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Maria Sakkari in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Maria Sakkari. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Iga Swiatek7d ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Iga Swiatek@ 72.0¢7d ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 84.0¢7d ago
15m INVALIDATED -23.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iga Swiatek; negative values favor Maria Sakkari. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaria Sakkari · $36.8K
6hIga Swiatek · $63.4K
24hIga Swiatek · $63.4K

Iga Swiatek price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iga Swiatek price. Maria Sakkari fills are converted to the complementary Iga Swiatek probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.9¢▲ above by 16.1pp
VWAP 7d83.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iga Swiatek price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$96.3K
90¢
$45.0K
85¢
$43.6K
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$12.8K
70¢
$36.2K
65¢
$20.3K
60¢
$19.8K
55¢
$10.9K
50¢
$12.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIga Swiatek$10.4K@ 99.9¢0x2fd7…7e74🐋—7 days ago
SELLIga Swiatek$26.1K@ 99.9¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—7 days ago
SELLIga Swiatek$20.0K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—7 days ago
SELLIga Swiatek$11.1K@ 93.0¢
swy010xe3d4…2bac
🐋—7 days ago
BUYIga Swiatek$22.8K@ 89.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—7 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennischampIga Swiatek$22.8K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
KevinEasyMoney27Iga Swiatek$21.2K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·6 fills
HomeRunHazardIga Swiatek$16.6K
BUY VWAP 75.6¢·6 fills
swy01Iga Swiatek$13.6K
BUY VWAP 75.2¢·3 fills
dmoralezIga Swiatek$12.7K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·5 fills
swisstonyIga Swiatek$12.7K
BUY VWAP 84.9¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.