Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva

● quote 36 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $272.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $576.8KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 94%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:216 trades$445.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 77%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 38 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$43.5K·6 wallets(1🐋)·$136.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMirra Andreeva (NO)$84.9K@ 100¢·tennischamp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$645
6h
−$112.9K
tracked
$445.5K

6 verified profitable wallets: +$43.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 94% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +6.2pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 36 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 39 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 38 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Janice Tjen and Mirra Andreeva in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Janice Tjen' if Janice Tjen advances against Mirra Andreeva. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Janice Tjen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Mirra Andreeva@ 93.8¢54m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Mirra Andreeva@ 88.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$645
6h$112.9K
24h$112.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h5.0¢▼ below by 4.9pp
VWAP 7d5.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$10
10¢
$95.5K
5¢
$133.7K
0¢
← now
$216.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLMirra Andreeva (NO)$84.9K@ 99.9¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋40 minutes ago
BUYMirra Andreeva (NO)$43.1K@ 99.9¢0x5c03…31bb🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLMirra Andreeva (NO)$10.4K@ 93.3¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋about 2 hours ago
SELLMirra Andreeva (NO)$11.8K@ 94.3¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYMirra Andreeva (NO)$12.0K@ 92.0¢
KevinEasyMoney270x55f5…e2a0
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYMirra Andreeva (NO)$61.5K@ 87.8¢0x3970…44ce🐋about 4 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3970…44ceMirra Andreeva$61.5K
BUY VWAP 87.8¢·1 fill
0x5c03…31bbMirra Andreeva$43.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
swisstonyMirra Andreeva$30.9K
BUY VWAP 94.7¢·14 fills
KevinEasyMoney27Mirra Andreeva$20.0K
BUY VWAP 89.9¢·2 fills
0x5268…135dMirra Andreeva$19.7K
BUY VWAP 94.6¢·6 fills
RN1Mirra Andreeva$13.8K
BUY VWAP 93.9¢·4 fills
007theone1Mirra Andreeva$11.8K
BUY VWAP 97.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.