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Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musetti

UncategorizedSettlement: Lorenzo MusettiLiquidity: $300.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $327.7KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musetti
0.0¢
Michael Zheng payout
100.0¢
Lorenzo Musetti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lorenzo Musetti · $24.5K net·5 wallets·$27.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLorenzo Musetti$13.0K@ 100¢·simbich

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lorenzo Musetti. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Lorenzo Musetti in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Michael Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michael Zheng; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Musetti · $17.5K
6hLorenzo Musetti · $80.7K
24hLorenzo Musetti · $80.7K

Michael Zheng price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michael Zheng price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Michael Zheng probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h10.8¢▼ below by 10.8pp
VWAP 7d10.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michael Zheng price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$3.2K
30¢
$30.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.3K
15¢
$13
10¢
$30.7K
5¢
$8.3K
0¢
← now
$78.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLorenzo Musetti$12.0K@ 99.9¢
ChallengerSpecialist0x5ba6…0f07
🐋—5 days ago
SELLLorenzo Musetti$12.1K@ 99.9¢
VanGen0xade2…e86d
🐋—5 days ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$12.3K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—5 days ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$13.0K@ 99.9¢
simbich0x5912…6f45
🐋—5 days ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$12.8K@ 96.7¢
TrajanCapital0x6f2e…9d0b
🐋—5 days ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$10.7K@ 89.0¢
tradecraft0xde9f…d43c
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

simbichLorenzo Musetti$13.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
TrajanCapitalLorenzo Musetti$12.8K
BUY VWAP 96.7¢·1 fill
LhordGryffinLorenzo Musetti$12.3K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
tradecraftLorenzo Musetti$10.7K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.